ΔE 16.8, loose: different enough that you should pick on purpose. Muddy Wash is a little lighter, much more muted, cooler than Warm Skin Tone.
Not as a straight swap; see the closer alternatives below. Loose match (ΔE 17). Muddy Wash is a little lighter, much more muted, cooler than Warm Skin Tone.
The same difference applies the other way round: Warm Skin Tone is a little darker, much more saturated, warmer.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Warm Skin Tone on the colour wheel See Muddy Wash on the colour wheel
All matches: Warm Skin Tone equivalents · Muddy Wash equivalents