ΔE 16.8, loose: different enough that you should pick on purpose. Muddy Wash is a little lighter, much more muted, cooler than Warm Skin Shade.
Not as a straight swap; see the closer alternatives below. Loose match (ΔE 17). Muddy Wash is a little lighter, much more muted, cooler than Warm Skin Shade.
The same difference applies the other way round: Warm Skin Shade is a little darker, much more saturated, warmer.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Warm Skin Shade on the colour wheel See Muddy Wash on the colour wheel
All matches: Warm Skin Shade equivalents · Muddy Wash equivalents