ΔE 13.6, fair: the same colour family, but not a straight swap. Warm Grey is a little lighter, more saturated than Smoke.
Only where an exact match doesn’t matter, such as a new unit or a highlight. Fair match (ΔE 14). Warm Grey is a little lighter, more saturated than Smoke.
The same difference applies the other way round: Smoke is a little darker, more muted.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Smoke on the colour wheel See Warm Grey on the colour wheel
All matches: Smoke equivalents · Warm Grey equivalents