ΔE 19.5, loose: different enough that you should pick on purpose. Ultramarine Blue is noticeably lighter, much more saturated than Speed Metal.
Not as a straight swap; see the closer alternatives below. Loose match (ΔE 19). Ultramarine Blue is noticeably lighter, much more saturated than Speed Metal.
The same difference applies the other way round: Speed Metal is noticeably darker, much more muted.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Speed Metal on the colour wheel See Ultramarine Blue on the colour wheel
All matches: Speed Metal equivalents · Ultramarine Blue equivalents