ΔE 27.7, loose: different enough that you should pick on purpose. Nocturnal Red is noticeably lighter, much more saturated, cooler than Umbral Umber.
Not as a straight swap; see the closer alternatives below. Loose match (ΔE 28). Nocturnal Red is noticeably lighter, much more saturated, cooler than Umbral Umber.
The same difference applies the other way round: Umbral Umber is noticeably darker, much more muted, warmer.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Umbral Umber on the colour wheel See Nocturnal Red on the colour wheel
All matches: Umbral Umber equivalents · Nocturnal Red equivalents