ΔE 8.5, close: similar, with a visible difference side by side. Replenish Blue is a little lighter, cooler than Ultramarines Blue.
Usually, if you are not matching paint already on the model. Close match (ΔE 8). Replenish Blue is a little lighter, cooler than Ultramarines Blue.
The same difference applies the other way round: Ultramarines Blue is a little darker, warmer.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Ultramarines Blue on the colour wheel See Replenish Blue on the colour wheel
All matches: Ultramarines Blue equivalents · Replenish Blue equivalents