ΔE 14.8, fair: the same colour family, but not a straight swap. Ultramarine Shadow is noticeably darker than Thunderhawk Blue.
Only where an exact match doesn’t matter, such as a new unit or a highlight. Fair match (ΔE 15). Ultramarine Shadow is noticeably darker than Thunderhawk Blue.
The same difference applies the other way round: Thunderhawk Blue is noticeably lighter.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Thunderhawk Blue on the colour wheel See Ultramarine Shadow on the colour wheel
All matches: Thunderhawk Blue equivalents · Ultramarine Shadow equivalents