ΔE 9.1, close: similar, with a visible difference side by side. Orange Peel is a little lighter, more saturated than Squig Orange.
Usually, if you are not matching paint already on the model. Close match (ΔE 9). Orange Peel is a little lighter, more saturated than Squig Orange.
The same difference applies the other way round: Squig Orange is a little darker, more muted.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Squig Orange on the colour wheel See Orange Peel on the colour wheel
All matches: Squig Orange equivalents · Orange Peel equivalents