ΔE 15.0, loose: different enough that you should pick on purpose. Arabic Shadow is much more saturated, warmer than Prairie Ochre.
Not as a straight swap; see the closer alternatives below. Loose match (ΔE 15). Arabic Shadow is much more saturated, warmer than Prairie Ochre.
The same difference applies the other way round: Prairie Ochre is much more muted, cooler.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Prairie Ochre on the colour wheel See Arabic Shadow on the colour wheel
All matches: Prairie Ochre equivalents · Arabic Shadow equivalents