ΔE 20.9, loose: different enough that you should pick on purpose. Moldy Ochre is noticeably darker, warmer than Pastel Yellow. They are different kinds of paint: Army Painter Pastel Yellow is a one-coat contrast-style paint and Formula P3 Moldy Ochre is an opaque base/layer paint, so they won’t behave the same on the model even where the colour is close.
Not as a straight swap; see the closer alternatives below. Loose match (ΔE 21). Moldy Ochre is noticeably darker, warmer than Pastel Yellow. They are different kinds of paint.
The same difference applies the other way round: Pastel Yellow is noticeably lighter, cooler.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Pastel Yellow on the colour wheel See Moldy Ochre on the colour wheel
All matches: Pastel Yellow equivalents · Moldy Ochre equivalents