ΔE 15.8, loose: different enough that you should pick on purpose. Moonray Flesh is noticeably darker, more muted, warmer than Arid Earth.
Not as a straight swap; see the closer alternatives below. Loose match (ΔE 16). Moonray Flesh is noticeably darker, more muted, warmer than Arid Earth.
The same difference applies the other way round: Arid Earth is noticeably lighter, more saturated, cooler.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Arid Earth on the colour wheel See Moonray Flesh on the colour wheel
All matches: Arid Earth equivalents · Moonray Flesh equivalents