ΔE 16.3, loose: different enough that you should pick on purpose. Carmine Red is noticeably lighter, more saturated than Wine Red.
Not as a straight swap; see the closer alternatives below. Loose match (ΔE 16). Carmine Red is noticeably lighter, more saturated than Wine Red.
The same difference applies the other way round: Wine Red is noticeably darker, more muted.
ΔE is the colour difference between our two swatch estimates: under about 6 is close, over about 15 is loose. Real paints also differ in finish, coverage and how they thin, so test before you commit.
See Wine Red on the colour wheel See Carmine Red on the colour wheel
All matches: Wine Red equivalents · Carmine Red equivalents